Global Analysis

From 04/09 to 04/09

Analysis

Also this week the world areas with the greatest vulnerability were; Latin America, with Brazil and Mexico due to violent protests over the arrest of former president Luca and the armed criminal uprising of gangs of Mexican drug traffickers. Barbados, Jamaica, Belize, Honduras and Haiti remain the countries with the highest arrests rate for drug dealing.

In Central Africa, the major events of the week created tensions in Niger and Mali due to terrorist attacks against French soldiers. The tension in South Africa remains high due to the problem of landowners of European origin. This week there have been robberies and kidnappings caused by South African blacks gang.

Asia and the Pacific area, this week have not recorded any significant events. The exception is the Philippines and Indonesia, as well as the North India area on the border with China, where high levels of danger remain due to military conflicts and terrorism. The Caucasian area remains at great risk of military escalation.

Risk Data

80%

Terrorism

Areas of the world at risk of growing Islamic terrorism: Central Europe, Morocco, Tunisia, Libya, Egypt, Middle East, Central African Area, Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, USA. Major areas at risk of anarchist terrorism, Ameria Latina, with Brazil, Chile and Argentina in mind. USA and Canada, France, Spain, Italy, Greece and Belgium and Germany. Russia and Sweden. Solitary journeys and participation in large events with crowds of people are not recommended.

70%

Crime

Areas of the world at risk of growing crime: Central African area, the Philippines, Turkey, Mexico, South Africa, Kenya and Yemen. Solitary journeys and participation in large events with crowds of people are not recommended. Solitary bands act in these areas for kidnapping for ransom.

60%

Political

The current week has recorded the most significant events in the areas of Cuba following the general elections, as well as in Korea and Syria. Cuba goes towards a generational change that will lead to a dualism at the top of the nation’s command. Raul Castro appointed Miguel Diaz -Canel, an electronic engineer, 57, could be the new head of the country fixed for election day of April 18,  if elected his will be president of the Council of State and the Council of Ministers but not to be head the Cuba’s political party. General Raul who took over from Fidel in 2008 will remain the secretary of the Cuban Communist Party until 2021.

In reality this is the only political organization that counts in the country, with absolute authority over the Cuban armed forces and the popular defense committees. Another important event of the week is the planned meeting between Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un, who, meanwhile, come together in the ranking of the 100 most influential people in the world drawn up by Time each year. Next to them is another key player in the Korean game, Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Security Alert

Areas of the world at risk of health: growing diseases this week-
Listeriosis – Australia
Cholera – Somalia
Listeriosis – South Africa
Lassa Fever – Nigeria, Liberia
Human infection with a seasonal reassortant A (H1N2) influenza virus – Netherlands
Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) – Oman, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia

Lowing diseases this week-
Yellow fever – Brazil
Circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2 – Somalia
Cholera – Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Mozambique, Tanzania
Chikungunya – Mombasa, Kenya
Rift Valley fever – Gambia
Human infection with avian influenza A (H7N4) virus – China
Hepatitis E – Namibia

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