Specific Analysis

The analysis scenario of the current week has a focal point in the Syria air strike. The military dynamics that triggered the air attack are now clear. However, the political reason that created this tension is not yet clear. If one way, the US is condescending with their allies in the UK and France, it is not as clear as many States of the UN have not intervened militarily. Officially, the air strike was ordered to prevent the Assad regime from striking the population with chemical weapons. However, this motivation appears to be incomplete.

There is no doubt that the Syrian conflict has caused thousands of civilian casualties since 7 years, and this week’s attack can not be considered decisive for the solution of the conflict.  On the other hand, the Russian position appears clear and evident. The interests of Syria coincide with those of Russia in that Middle Eastern area. Obviously, the structure is weak because the Sunni front and Israel do not accept the outcome of the first phase of the war. Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Turkey have focused on a Sunni insurrection to overthrow the pro-Iranian government of Bashar al-Assad. All this to counterbalance the post-Saddam Iraq, which has become a two-wire Shiite power in Tehran.

However, no one had thought that the Sunni jihad of Isis would have gone out of control and that it would have spread both to Syria and to Iraq. Because of this, the West has found itself allied with Iran and Russia against the Islamic State. The result is that the Sunnis were annihilated in Bilad al-Sham, the Syrian rais is still in Damascus and Iran is building its first permanent base near the capital.  Syria and Iraq are now united and between the Mediterranean and Iran, along the so-called “Shia highway”, they are free to move Shia militias that rely on hundreds of thousands of men and respond mainly to Iran and Russia.